Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.224077 0.267382 0.316002 0.374514 0.442897 0.520159 0.613937
2025-02-16 0.155975 0.210214 0.278049 0.368614 0.485783 0.631620 0.826178
2025-02-23 0.116127 0.171678 0.247034 0.355694 0.507120 0.709209 0.997562
2025-03-02 0.088744 0.141985 0.219356 0.338360 0.514733 0.763957 1.139506
2025-03-09 0.076044 0.130146 0.213488 0.348808 0.559887 0.872514 1.365069
2025-03-16 0.061364 0.112037 0.194562 0.335599 0.566402 0.923532 1.509857
2025-03-23 0.053820 0.104049 0.189951 0.343474 0.605365 1.026133 1.741683
2025-03-30 0.047345 0.096617 0.184850 0.349258 0.640731 1.125545 1.977031
2025-04-06 0.040617 0.087416 0.175076 0.345182 0.658180 1.196406 2.171268
2025-04-13 0.035126 0.079559 0.166441 0.341653 0.675549 1.267900 2.372071
2025-04-20 0.032121 0.076188 0.165747 0.352682 0.720192 1.390399 2.671704
2025-04-27 0.031514 0.077794 0.175040 0.384104 0.806201 1.594207 3.133341
2025-05-04 0.028882 0.074677 0.174669 0.397045 0.859859 1.747195 3.522884
2025-05-11 0.025138 0.068311 0.166537 0.393003 0.879718 1.839415 3.809385
2025-05-18 0.021283 0.060869 0.154797 0.379429 0.878122 1.889538 4.019201
2025-05-25 0.017739 0.053434 0.141799 0.361035 0.863767 1.912299 4.176395
2025-06-01 0.016396 0.051555 0.141685 0.372128 0.914678 2.072217 4.623040
2025-06-08 0.013928 0.046013 0.131613 0.358104 0.907521 2.110096 4.821455
2025-06-15 0.012838 0.044214 0.130778 0.366465 0.952562 2.262876 5.273378
2025-06-22 0.011766 0.042240 0.129161 0.372606 0.992965 2.408966 5.722796
2025-06-29 0.010415 0.039085 0.123803 0.368279 1.007488 2.498622 6.056161
2025-07-06 0.009252 0.036272 0.118932 0.364532 1.022933 2.591550 6.404205
2025-07-13 0.008704 0.035431 0.119662 0.376240 1.078837 2.782893 6.990306